Investment cycles are inevitable in equity markets. Prices go up in bull markets, come down in bear markets and again go up; this cycle continues. You should sell equity (shift to other asset class) when market is high and buy equity (shift from other asset classes) when market is low. This idea is encapsulated in the age-old investment wisdom, “buy low and sell high”.
Though the idea is simple, it is very difficult to implement because in market rallies and crashes, emotions like greed and fear take over. The table below shows that investors end up buying when prices are high, and sell when prices are low. If you buy when valuations are high and miss out on buying when valuations are low, you may get sub-optimal returns.
Source: SBI MF, Period: March 2014 to March 2021
Timing the market i.e. predicting when / at level prices will peak or bottom is very difficult because short term prices are driven by sentiments. Even predicting which asset class (i.e. equity, debt etc) will outperform or underperform in the short term is difficult because winners keep rotating between asset classes (see the chart below). Therefore, a systematic valuation based approach is suitable for generating consistent returns across different market conditions.
Source: National Stock Exchange, Advisorkhoj Research, 1st Jan 2011 to 30th June 2020. Equity: Nifty 50 TRI; Debt: Nifty 10 year benchmark G-Sec Index. Disclaimer: Past performance may or may not be sustained in the future.
SBI Mutual Funds is launching a new fund offer (NFO) for a hybrid dynamic asset allocation fund, SBI Balanced Advantage Fund – The NFO opens on August 12 and closes on August 25, 2021.
SEBI does not have asset allocation (i.e. equity, debt etc) upper and lower limits for dynamic asset allocation funds or balanced advantage funds. In other words, equity allocation can range from 0 – 100% and debt allocation can range from 0 – 100% depending on market conditions and the dynamic asset allocation model of the scheme.
The scheme will have quantitative framework the top down investment strategy in terms of the market cap allocation, investment style (growth / value / quality), sector preference etc.
Stock selection will be based on fund manager conviction. The fund manager will use model portfolios based on thehighest conviction ideas of the SBI MF analyst team. The debt portion of the scheme portfolio will be of high credit quality / sovereign securities to maintain liquidity. The fund managers will actively manage duration to generate alpha across the yield curve.
Balanced Advantage Funds have given superior returns over traditional investment options and fixed income products – the category average returns have been 22.63%, 8.99%, 9.24% and 11.55% respective for 1,3,5 and 10 years period (source: Advisorkhoj trailing returns data as on August 10, 2021. Therefore, it is an ideal category to invest for investors with moderately high risk profile. Considering SBI Mutual Funds stellar fund management track record across asset classes, investors may consider investing in the NFO of SBI Balanced Advantage Fund. The NFO closes on August 25, 2021.
Mutual Fund Investments are subject to market risk, read all scheme related documents carefully.