The stock market is trading at its record high despite bouts of high volatility from time to time. Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) have been net sellers on an YTD basis in 2024. There are multiple factors at play. FIIs are shifting their emerging market allocations from India to China because from their perspective Chinese equities are available at relatively attractive valuations. MSCI China Index (USD) gave negative returns for 3 consecutive years, CY 2021, CY 2022 and CY 2023. The deep correction in China has made their stocks relatively cheaper to Indian equities which have been rallying. There is also uncertainty about when the interest rate cycle will reverse.
IMF has revised India’s GDP growth forecast upwards FY 2024-25 to 6.8% from 6.5%. India is once again expected to be the best performing G-20 economy in 2024 – 25. While the US economy is expected to make a soft landing (avoid recession) when the new interest rate cycle begins, there are concerns about the extent of slowdown in the US, which will affect global equities. Among domestic factors, the results of the Lok Sabha elections and political stability will also be an important factor which will give direction to equities. While the long-term outlook for Indian equities remains positive, investors should be prepared for volatility in the short term.
Historical data shows that gold as an asset class outperforms in times of economic uncertainty and high inflation; gold has delivered strong returns in the last few years. Since gold returns have inverse relationships with interest rate movement, investment experts expect gold to continue to outperform when interest rate cycle reverses. In uncertain times multi asset allocation i.e. asset allocation across 3 or more asset classes can be more effective than conventional asset allocation across equity and debt only. In this article, we will review Nippon India Multi Asset Fund, a top performing fund in its category which diversifies investments across four asset classes.
Source: NSE, MCX, MSCI, Investing.com. Equity is represented by Nifty 50 TRI, fixed income is represented by Nifty 10-year Benchmark G-Sec Index, gold by MCX spot prices, silver by MCX spot prices and international by MSCI World Index. MSCI World Index USD returns have been converted into INR returns by adjusting for INR versus USD appreciation or depreciation. Disclaimer: Past performance may or may not be sustained in the future
Nippon India Multi Asset Fund was launched in August 2020. The expense ratio of the regular plan of the fund as on 30th April 2024 is only 1.56%. Despite a slow start, this fund has climbed to the top quartile (see the infographic below). The fund has given 18.3% CAGR returns since inception despite its slow start (as on 30th April 2024).
Source: Advisorkhoj Quartile Rankings
Multi Asset Allocation Funds are mandated by SEBI to invest in at least 3 or more asset classes. Minimum allocation to each asset class will be 10%. Nippon India Multi Asset Fund invests in 4 asset classes
The chart below shows the growth of Rs 10,000 investment in Nippon India Multi Asset Fund since 1st January 2023 compared to Nifty 50 TRI. You can see that the fund has outperformed the Nifty 50 TRI. You can also see that the drawdowns have been lower for the fund compared to Nifty 50 TRI (see portions of the chart circled in red).
Source: Advisorkhoj Research
The chart below shows the 1 year rolling returns of Nippon India Multi Asset Fund versus the Nifty Multi Asset Index since the inception of the fund. You can see that the fund was able to beat the multi asset index fairly consistently over 1 year investment tenures across different market conditions. You can see that the fund was able to give 12%+ CAGR return in more than 60% of the instances.
Source: Advisorkhoj Rolling Returns
The chart below shows the asset allocation of multi asset allocation funds. You can see that Nippon India Multi Asset Fund (circled in red) is one the very few multi asset allocations funds which has allocations to international equities. There is an overall industry wide $ 1 billion limit of investments in overseas ETFs. The fund stopped investments in overseas ETFs from 1st April 2024 in compliance with SEBI’s circular. But the fund had taken sufficient exposure to MSCI World Index before SEBI’s circular was issued. This has helped the fund to reap the benefits for investors today. The asset allocation of Nippon India Multi Asset Fund shows that it is a true to label multi asset allocation fund.
Investors should consult their financial advisors or mutual fund distributors if Nippon India Multi Asset Fund is suitable for their investment needs.
Mutual Fund Investments are subject to market risk, read all scheme related documents carefully.
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