Nippon India Corporate Bond Fund has been the top performing corporate bond fund in the last 3 years. The fund continues to be one of the top performers even in CY 2024. With interest rates peaking, we are now in a favourable macro environment for debt funds. Nippon India Corporate Bond Fund can be a good alternative investment option to traditional fixed income investments (e.g. Bank Fixed Deposits) for investors with 2 – 3 years or longer investment horizon.
Corporate bond funds are debt mutual funds which invest primarily in corporate bonds. As per SEBI’s mandate, corporate bond funds must invest at least 80% of their assets in AAA rated corporate bonds. Since AAA credit rating denotes highest safety, the credit risk in corporate bond funds is low. Credit risk is an important consideration in fixed income investments since a credit default i.e. the issuer failing to make interest or principal payments, can cause a permanent loss. SEBI does not have any duration mandate for corporate funds. Corporate bond fund managers have the flexibility to invest across durations, based on their interest rate outlook.
The US Federal Reserve has held interest rates (Fed Funds Rate) steady at 5.25 – 5.5% since July 2023. The RBI has also kept the repo rates at 6.5% for the last one year. The US Fed indicated in its January FOMC meeting that it may cut interest rates in 2024. Other central banks, including the RBI, are expected to follow suit in cutting interest rates. Long duration bond yields have declined in anticipation of rate cuts. Yields are expected to decline further as rate cuts draw nearer and continue to fall when central banks start cutting interest rates later this year.
Government bond yields in the 3 – 4 maturity ranges are in 7.05 – 7.1% range (see the G-Sec yield curve) below.
Source: worldgovernmentbonds.com, as on 15th March 2024
The AAA rated corporate bond yield spread with G-Sec is 60 – 70 bps (source: CRISIL) over 3 to 5 year maturities. Therefore, if G-Sec yield is 7.05%, then AAA bond yield will be in the range of 7.65 – 7.75% range. These yields are significantly higher if you compare with current interest rates of traditional fixed income (e.g. Bank FDs) of similar tenures, when interest rates are in 7 – 7.2% range (source: Bank Bazaar). Please note that the AAA denotes highest safety. Yield to maturity of Nippon India corporate bond fund, which endeavours to invest in 100% Sovereign / AAA rated instruments is currently 7.74% (as on 29th February 2024), which is among the highest YTMs in the corporate bond fund category.
Bond prices have an inverse relationship to interest rate changes. Bond prices go up when interest rates fall and vice versa. The percentage price change for percentage change in interest rates or yields depends on the duration of the bond. If the duration of a debt fund is 1 and interest rates change by 50 bps, then NAV of the scheme will appreciate by 0.5%. The returns of a debt fund include both price appreciation and income accrual from the interest (coupons) paid by the underlying bonds.
Nippon India Corporate Bond Fund has a modified duration of 3.14 years (as on 29th February 2024). If interest rates fall by 0.5% in next 1 year, the return of the scheme can be = 7.74% (YTM) + 1.56% (Modified Duration X Interest rate change) – 0.71% (TER) = 8.59%. Please note that this return is purely illustrative assuming a certain interest rate change and no changes in underlying portfolio. There is no guarantee that the scheme will deliver this return.
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Nippon India Corporate Bond Fund was launched in September 2000. The expense ratio of the scheme is just 0.71% (as on 29th February 2024). It invests based on short to medium term interest rate view and shape of the yield curve. The scheme has given 7.4% CAGR returns since inception. The chart below shows the performance of Nippon India Corporate Bond Fund versus its category average across different investment horizons.
Source: Advisorkhoj Research, as on 20th March 2024
Source: Nippon India February 2024 monthly portfolio, Advisorkhoj Research (as 29th February 2024).
The chart below shows the annual (calendar year) performance of Nippon India Corporate Bond Fund relative to peer funds category over the last 10 years. You can see that the fund has been a top quartile performer for last 4 consecutive years. In the last 10 year, Nippon India Corporate Bond Fund has been in the top 2 quartiles 70% of the time (7 years out of years). This shows strong out performance with consistency in performance.
Mutual Fund Investments are subject to market risk, read all scheme related documents carefully.
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Nov 22, 2024 by Advisorkhoj Team
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