Domestic consumption is one of the most important themes of the India Growth Story. India enjoys a demographic advantage as far as this theme is concerned. We have a young population; the average age is just 29 years (Source: Ministry of External Affairs). As per National Family Health Survey 2021, 88% of the population is below the age of 60 and more than half of the population is below 30. Per capita income is also rising and has already crossed the $2,000 mark. Favourable demographics and rising per capita income are primary demand drivers of our consumption growth story.
India’s consumption expenditure doubled in the last 10 years and was $2 Trillion in 2021 (source: World Bank). With favourable demographics and per capita income estimated to be growing to $12,000 by 2036, the growth potential of consumption is huge. With rising per capita income, we are seeing trends of premiumisation in our consumption market. Historical data shows that, consumption has been a very attractive investment theme for long term investors. In the last 10 years, Nifty India Consumption TRI has given 14.9% CAGR returns (source: National Stock Exchange, as on 16th November 2022). Consumption is also one of the most popular thematic mutual fund categories with 12 schemes in this category. However, one thematic consumption fund stands out as a strong performer in the last 5 years - Nippon India Consumption Fund has been the best performing consumption fund for the last 3 years.
Nippon India Consumption Fund was launched in 2004 and has given more than 15% CAGR returns since inception. The expense ratio of the fund is 2.65%. The chart below shows the growth of Rs 10,000 lump sum investment in Nippon India Consumption Fund in the last 5 years compared to the Nifty 50 TRI. The scheme gave 15.31% CAGR returns versus 13.91% CAGR returns by Nifty 50 TRI. You can see that the Nippon India Consumption Fund was able to create alpha for investors.
Source: Advisorkhoj research
The chart below shows the 3 year rolling returns of Nippon India Consumption Fund over the last 5 years. We are showing 3 year rolling returns because we think that you need to have minimum 3 year investment tenure for this scheme. You can see that Nippon India Consumption Fund outperformed the category average by a significant margin over the last 5 years. You can also see that the scheme was able to generate double digit returns over 3 year investment periods quite consistently (more than 87% of the instances) across different market conditions in the last 5 years. Performance consistency is one the attributes of a good fund manager.
Source: Advisorkhoj research
The chart below shows the growth of Rs 10,000 monthly SIP in Nippon India Consumption Fund since its inception in 2004. With a cumulative investment of just Rs 21.8 lakhs in the last 18 years, you could have accumulated a corpus of nearly Rs 90 lakhs at an XIRR of nearly 14%. You can also see that even over very long tenure, the scheme was able to generate market beating returns.
Source: Advisorkhoj research
Investors should consult with their financial advisors if Nippon India Consumption Fund is suitable for their long term investment needs.
Mutual Fund Investments are subject to market risk, read all scheme related documents carefully.
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